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Options Flow Recap July 7–11 — $18.67B in Institutional Premium

$18.67B in options premium crossed the scanner July 7–11: 76,576 signals, 533 graded A, 68% buy lean. Top names: MU $2.02B, SNDK $1.80B, QQQ $1.71B.

$18.67B in options premium crossed the scanner on July 7–July 11. 76,576 signals fired, 533 of them graded A. Here is what the tape showed — the numbers first, the read below.

The Tape

  • Total premium: $18.67B
  • Signals fired: 76,576
  • Grade A signals: 533
  • Buy/sell lean: 68% buy ($12.74B buy vs $5.92B sell)

Top Tickers by Premium

  • MU — $2.02B across 8,383 signals
  • SNDK — $1.80B across 6,550 signals
  • QQQ — $1.71B across 9,430 signals
  • SPY — $1.40B across 10,021 signals
  • META — $884.36M across 3,902 signals

The Notable Prints

The highest-conviction graded prints of the period:

  1. ARM 270 Call Sell — $76.10M block, at bid, 42 DTE, Grade B. Outcome: LOSS (-28.5%).
  2. NDX 29000 Put Sell — $34.60M block, above ask, 44 DTE, Grade A. Outcome: LOSS (-24.8%).
  3. AMD 500 Call Sell — $32.41M block, below bid, 44 DTE, Grade A. Outcome: WIN (+38.2%).
  4. NVDA 195 Call Buy — $30.14M block, below bid, 73 DTE, Grade A. Outcome: WIN (+42.3%).
  5. NVDA 195 Call Sell — $30.04M block, below bid, 73 DTE, Grade A. Outcome: WIN (+42.8%).

The Read

Five prints stand out by size — and the honest read is that size didn't guarantee anything.

Two of the five resolved as losses. The ARM $76.1M 270-call block (Grade B) closed -28.5%, and the NDX $34.6M 29,000-put block (Grade A) closed -24.8% — the two largest tickets of the week, both red. Worth saying plainly: NDX carried our top conviction grade and still lost. A Grade A score reflects the structure of a print — its size, aggression, and alignment — not a guarantee of how it resolves.

The AMD $32.4M 500-call block (Grade A) closed +38.2%.

The two NVDA 195-call tickets need a caveat. A ~$30.1M "buy" and a ~$30.0M "sell" hit the same strike, same 73 DTE, same below-bid execution, within $100K of each other. That is almost certainly two legs of a single structure — not two independent whale bets pointing in opposite directions. We list both because both crossed the tape, but reading them as separate bullish and bearish conviction signals would be double-counting one position. Taken as the single play it is, it resolved green.

Netted down to distinct positions, this list is four plays — two winners, two losers — inside a week that leaned 68% buy across $18.67B in premium. The biggest tickets were close to a coin flip, and the two that missed were among the largest of them. Size and grade tilt the odds; they don't erase the risk.


How These Signals Are Graded

Every print on the tape is scored, not just listed. Grade A signals clear the top conviction gate — size, aggression, and structure aligned. Every graded signal's resolved outcome is tracked publicly on our track record, win or lose.


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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Options trading involves substantial risk.

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Disclaimer: Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You may lose the entire investment, and certain strategies may result in losses exceeding the initial amount invested. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always consult a financial or tax advisor before making investment decisions.